Predict Soccer Results With Machine Learning

  • Status: Closed
  • Prêmio: $20
  • Inscrições Recebidas: 27
  • Vencedor: yatishdua

Síntese do concurso

Soccer is the world's most popular sport.
**This contest will test whether you're among the best Machine Learning engineers in the world.**
Your challenge is to use ML & Deep Learning to build a model that can best classify the outcome of a soccer match given publicly available data.

The data provided includes details on a team's recent performance, probability of winning, match location, date, recent performance against the opposing team & other recent info. In all, there are close to 100 input variables provided.

Each soccer match's results are provided under the Outcome column in the training data. A match can either be a home_team_win (indicated with 1 in the outcome colume), a draw (indicated with 0) or a away_team_win (indicated with 2).

A leaderboard of top 10 performing models will be posted daily on the contest's chat room.
The competition will run for 14 days.
A small payout has been guaranteed & will be provided to the winner of the contest.
If you win the contest, you may be hired as a consulting once the contest has concluded. Your consultation services will be compensated at a agreed payment rate.

The data:
There are 3 datasets provided.
1. [login to view URL] - This contains 31600 matches & their outcomes that you will use to train your model(s).
2. [login to view URL] - This contains 7900 matches & their outcomes that you will use to test/validate your model(s) performance.

3. [login to view URL] - This contains 500 matches (without outcomes) that you will need to predict with your model & submit their results as a list of 0,1 & 2 as part of your submission.

Performance Criteria:
- The F1 Score ([login to view URL]) will be used to determine your model's performance against other contestants.
- This F1 Score will be based on the predictions you make for the data in point 3 above ([login to view URL]).
For the leaderboard, F1 Scores will be rounded off to 3 decimal places.
- Should there be a tie, all of the top positioned contestants will each get the guaranteed payout.
- You may post as submissions many times as you wish.

Programming Language:
1. You are encouraged to use Python for model construction.
2. You may use any classification technique as you see fit (Deep Learning, Machine Learning)

Submission:
Your submission must contain 2 things.
1. A list of your model's predictions on the [login to view URL] file. This must be posted as a comment in your submission. The list must be of the form: [0,1,2,2,0...,1,2]
2. A picture of your validation data F1 Score (calculated on '[login to view URL]').

You are welcome to post any questions that you have on the contest's chat board.

Are you among the best of the best in Maching Learning?
PROVE IT by winning this contest.

Habilidades Recomendadas

Feedback do Empregador

“Yatish submitted high quality & reproducible code.”

Foto do perfil LuyandaD, South Africa.

Painel Público de Esclarecimentos

  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Thanks !

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    This contest is now closed.
    Thank you to all contestants.
    I hope you found the contest stimulating & fun.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    I have verified the results in entry #47 .
    Without disclosing the contestant's exact methods, their solution involved the following:
    1. Data cleaning & removing of duplicates.
    2. Handling missing values & feature engineering on columns with dates.
    3. Using an ensemble method as a model.
    4. A custom function was used to classify outcomes, meaning the results of model.predict_proba() were manipulated so that they yielded different outcomes at different extremes.

    This entry has been awarded the contest's prize

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Here is the final leaderboard.
    Final Leaderboard 29/09/2020:

    1. Entry #47 . F1_Score: 97.598
    2. Entry #24 . F1_Score: 96.402
    3. Entry #37 . F1_Score: 96.395
    4. Entry #33 . F1_Score: 96.391
    5. Entry #57 . F1_Score: 95.995
    6. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    7. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    8. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    9. Entry #49 . F1_Score: 95.758
    10. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600

    - I am replicating the results of the top 3 entries & will share the details on the implementation of the winning entry.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    You may use these outcomes to verify the scoring of your own entries & those of other contestants.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Second 250 (251 - 500):
    [2,0,0,2,1,1,2,1,1,0,0,1,2,1,1,1,0,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,2,2,2,1,0,2,2,2,2,1,2,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,1,1,0,2,0,2,2,2,0,1,1,2,0,1,1,0,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,0,1,1,1,0,0,1,0,0,1,0,1,1,2,1,2,2,1,1,2,1,2,0,0,1,0,1,1,0,2,2,1,0,1,2,0,1,2,1,2,1,2,0,1,1,1,0,0,0,2,2,2,2,0,1,0,0,1,0,0,1,2,1,2,1,2,1,2,1,0,2,0,1,1,2,2,0,2,1,2,2,0,1,1,1,1,2,2,0,2,2,0,1,1,0,1,2,1,0,2,2,0,2,0,1,0,2,1,1,0,0,1,1,1,2,2,0,2,2,0,2,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,1,1,1,0,1,1,2,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,1,0,2,1,1,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,0,1,1,0,2,1,0,2,1,1,1,2,0,2,1,0,1,2,1,2,2]

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    The contest has closed. Please find the true outcomes of the testing dataset below:
    First 250 (1 - 250):
    [1,2,0,1,0,1,1,1,1,0,2,2,2,2,1,0,1,2,1,0,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,0,1,2,2,2,0,1,1,2,1,2,0,2,0,1,1,1,2,0,2,1,1,2,1,0,1,1,2,2,1,1,1,2,2,1,2,2,2,0,2,0,1,2,2,0,2,1,1,2,2,1,1,2,0,1,2,2,2,2,0,2,2,1,1,1,2,0,0,0,1,2,0,0,1,0,1,1,0,0,1,1,0,0,1,2,0,2,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,1,1,2,2,2,1,0,2,2,1,1,2,1,2,1,2,0,2,1,1,0,1,2,1,0,1,0,1,2,2,0,0,2,2,1,0,1,1,1,0,0,2,1,1,1,1,0,1,1,2,2,2,0,1,1,0,2,0,1,1,2,1,1,1,0,2,0,2,2,1,2,2,2,2,2,0,1,2,2,1,0,1,1,2,0,2,1,1,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,2,2,0,0,2,2,1,0,2,2,1,1,1,1,0,1,1,2,2,1,2,1,0,2,1,0,2,2,2]

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • vaibhavmali907
    vaibhavmali907
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #62 Entries

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please check #60

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • Gitesh98
    Gitesh98
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #58 and #59

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #56 and #57 Entry

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • vaibhavmali907
    vaibhavmali907
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #55 Entry.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • vaibhavmali907
    vaibhavmali907
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #54 Entry.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • meghraj9
    meghraj9
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #53

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Attention to all contestants

    1. I have now updated the leaderboard in the comment below.
    2. The contest will close today, you may still submit entries until the contest has closed.
    3. Once the contest has closed, new entries will be evaluated & the leaderboard will be updated.
    4. The contestants with the top 3 entries will be asked in private chat to submit the notebooks used to generate their predictions.
    5. These notebooks will be used to reproduce results & verify that a winning entry has not been faked.
    6. The list of correct outcomes will be shared with you so that you may verify the results calculated for your own entry & that of others.

    7. Once a winning entry has been verified, the prize amount will be awarded.

    Thank you for your participation so far :)

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Leaderboard 29/09/2020:

    1. Entry #47 . F1_Score: 97.598
    2. Entry #24 . F1_Score: 96.402
    3. Entry #37 . F1_Score: 96.395
    4. Entry #33 . F1_Score: 96.391
    5. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    6. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    7. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    8. Entry #49 . F1_Score: 95.758
    9. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600
    10. Entry #14 . F1_Score: 95.597

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #51

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #50

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • meghraj9
    meghraj9
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #49

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • yatishdua
    yatishdua
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #47 Entry.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    I have removed all the previous entries please check #39 and #45

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • vaibhavmali907
    vaibhavmali907
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #46 Entry

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    please have a look upon #39 , #40 and #41 Entry

    • 3 semanas atrás
    1. LuyandaD
      Proprietário do Concurso
      • 3 semanas atrás

      You have made 5 entries in the past 4 hours. I am not going to check them all as it will consume too much time.
      Which one is your best one that you would like me to evaluate?

      • 3 semanas atrás
    2. rawatpankaj9876
      rawatpankaj9876
      • 3 semanas atrás

      I have removed all the previous entries please check #39 and #45

      • 3 semanas atrás
  • singlaparul1995
    singlaparul1995
    • 3 semanas atrás

    please have a look upon #44 Entry

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Leaderboard 26/09/2020:
    -- New entries not considered, awaiting latest contestants to identify their preferred entries.
    1. Entry #24 . F1_Score: 96.402
    2. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    3. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    4. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    5. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600
    6. Entry #14 . F1_Score: 95.597
    7. Entry #23 . F1_Score: 95.594
    8. Entry #25 . F1_Score: 95.593
    9. Entry #21 . F1_Score: 95.413
    10. Entry #20. F1_Score: 95.404

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • singlaparul1995
    singlaparul1995
    • 3 semanas atrás

    please have a look upon #43 Entry

    • 3 semanas atrás
    1. LuyandaD
      Proprietário do Concurso
      • 3 semanas atrás

      Hi Singla

      Please make a entry as follows:

      Make 1 entry for all 500 of your predictions.
      1 comment under the entry must contain the first half of your predictions,
      a second comment must contain the second half of your predictions.

      These must be posted as one entry.
      Delete the ones you've made & repost.

      • 3 semanas atrás
  • yatishdua
    yatishdua
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look upon #36 Entry.

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • bizzyvinci
    bizzyvinci
    • 3 semanas atrás

    #increaseprize

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Leaderboard 25/09/2020:

    1. Entry #24 . F1_Score: 96.402
    2. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    3. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    4. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    5. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600
    6. Entry #14 . F1_Score: 95.597
    7. Entry #23 . F1_Score: 95.594
    8. Entry #25 . F1_Score: 95.593
    9. Entry #21 . F1_Score: 95.413
    10. Entry #20. F1_Score: 95.404

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • meghraj9
    meghraj9
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #24

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 3 semanas atrás

    Please check prediction #25

    • 3 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 4 semanas atrás

    Leaderboard 24/09/2020:

    1. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    2. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    3. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    4. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600
    5. Entry #14 . F1_Score: 95.597
    6. Entry #23 . F1_Score: 95.594
    7. Entry #21 . F1_Score: 95.413
    8. Entry #20. F1_Score: 95.404
    9. Entry #17. F1_Score: 95.388
    10. Entry #8. F1_Score: 95.005

    • 4 semanas atrás
  • meghraj9
    meghraj9
    • 4 semanas atrás

    Please have a look at #21

    • 4 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 4 semanas atrás

    Please check #20 and #14 Entry

    • 4 semanas atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 4 semanas atrás

    Leaderboard 22/09/2020:

    1. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    2. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    3. Entry #16 . F1_Score: 95.796
    4. Entry #15 . F1_Score: 95.600
    5. Entry #17. F1_Score: 95.388
    6. Entry #8. F1_Score: 95.005
    7. Entry #6 . F1_Score: 93.359
    8.-
    9.-
    10.-

    • 4 semanas atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 1 mês atrás

    Please have a look at #17 Entry

    • 1 mês atrás
  • yatishdua
    yatishdua
    • 1 mês atrás

    Please have a look at #15 #16 Entry

    • 1 mês atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 1 mês atrás

    Leaderboard 21/09/2020:

    1. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    2. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    3. Entry #14 . F1_Score: 95.597
    4. Entry #8. F1_Score: 95.005
    5. Entry #6 . F1_Score: 93.359
    6.-
    7.-
    8.-
    9.-
    10.-

    • 1 mês atrás
  • rawatpankaj9876
    rawatpankaj9876
    • 1 mês atrás

    please have a look #14 Entry

    • 1 mês atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 1 mês atrás

    Leaderboard 20/09/2020:

    1. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    2. Entry #12 . F1_Score: 95.800
    3. Entry #8. F1_Score: 95.005
    4. Entry #6 . F1_Score: 93.359
    5.-
    6.-
    7.-
    8.-
    9.-
    10.-

    • 1 mês atrás
  • raahul1999
    raahul1999
    • 1 mês atrás

    will it be fine if this is done in R instead of python?

    • 1 mês atrás
    1. LuyandaD
      Proprietário do Concurso
      • 1 mês atrás

      Hi Rahul
      For easy integration with existing processes, only models done in Python are to be considered.

      • 1 mês atrás
  • yatishdua
    yatishdua
    • 1 mês atrás

    Please have a look at #12 Entry

    • 1 mês atrás
  • meghraj9
    meghraj9
    • 1 mês atrás

    Please have a look at #9 Entry

    • 1 mês atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 1 mês atrás

    Leaderboard 19/09/2020:

    1. Entry #7 . F1_Score: 95.801
    2. Entry #6 . F1_Score: 93.359
    3.-
    4.-
    5.-
    6.-
    7.-
    8.-
    9.-
    10.-

    • 1 mês atrás
  • yatishdua
    yatishdua
    • 1 mês atrás

    Hi,

    Please have a look at #7 Entry.

    • 1 mês atrás
  • LuyandaD
    Proprietário do Concurso
    • 1 mês atrás

    Leaderboard 18/09/2020:

    1. Entry #6 . F1_Score: 93.359
    2.-
    3.-
    4.-
    5.-
    6.-
    7.-
    8.-
    9.-
    10.-

    • 1 mês atrás

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