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I need a hands-on data scientist to turn a set of time-stamped records into a working regression model that can reliably forecast future values. The project’s primary objective is to develop a predictive model—specifically, a regression solution built on time series data. Here is what I will provide: • A cleaned, well-structured dataset (CSV) that includes the historical target variable and supporting features. • A short brief on the business context and the key performance metric I care about. What I expect from you: • Exploratory analysis that highlights trends, seasonality, outliers, and any useful lags or engineered features. • A robust regression model suited to time-series behaviour (ARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost, LSTM, or similar—feel free to justify the best choice). • Code written in Python using familiar libraries such as Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn (plus statsmodels, TensorFlow, or PyTorch if needed). • Clear evaluation with train/validation splits, back-testing, and accuracy metrics (MAPE, RMSE, or another metric we agree on). • Concise visualisations—matplotlib / seaborn for the notebook and, if helpful, a lightweight Power BI or Jupyter dashboard so stakeholders see how the predictions track actuals. • A brief report or notebook markdown explaining assumptions, feature engineering steps, model interpretation, and how the results translate into actionable insights. Deliverables will be: 1. The complete, reproducible Python code (notebook or .py). 2. Saved model artefacts ready for deployment. 3. Visual output illustrating forecast versus actual performance. 4. A short hand-off document so the business team can rerun or extend the work. If this scope matches your expertise in Python, SQL, machine learning, statistics, and data visualisation, let’s get started—I’m ready to move quickly once we align on approach and timeline.
Project ID: 40508508
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66 freelancers are bidding on average ₹951 INR/hour for this job

Hi, I am a data analyst/statistician and Economist with more than 6 years of experience. I can do your project, Please take time to check my profile and then you decide to contact me.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
5.8
5.8

Hello, I can help you build a reliable time-series regression model from your timestamped dataset and deliver it in a clean, reproducible Python workflow. My approach would be: First, I will perform exploratory analysis to understand the target behaviour, trends, seasonality, outliers, missing periods, correlations, and useful lag/rolling-window features. Then I will build a baseline model and compare it against stronger approaches such as XGBoost/LightGBM with lag features, ARIMA/SARIMA/Prophet, or LSTM if the dataset size and pattern justify it. For evaluation, I will use proper time-series validation rather than random splitting, including train/validation splits, walk-forward or back-testing, and metrics such as RMSE, MAE, and MAPE depending on your business priority. I will also create clear forecast-vs-actual visualisations so stakeholders can easily understand model performance. I have experience with Python, Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, statsmodels, machine learning regression, time-series feature engineering, model evaluation, and visualization. I can move quickly once I review the CSV structure, target column, timestamp frequency, forecast horizon, and key metric. I’m confident I can deliver a practical model that is not just technically sound, but also easy for your business team to understand and reuse.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
5.8
5.8

Hi, I'm a data analyst, statistician, and economist with over six years of experience. I understand the requirements of your project and have the skills to deliver high-quality results.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
6.2
6.2

I'll start with a thorough exploratory pass covering trend decomposition, seasonality detection, outlier identification, and lag correlation analysis to understand what the data is actually telling us before touching a model. Feature engineering will be driven by what the EDA surfaces — rolling statistics, calendar features, interaction terms — nothing added arbitrarily. Model selection will be justified against your data's characteristics. Stationary series with clear seasonality lean toward ARIMA or Prophet; non-linear feature-rich problems suit XGBoost with time-aware validation; sequential dependencies with long memory warrant an LSTM. I'll benchmark at least two approaches and recommend the one that earns it on back-tested MAPE or RMSE, whichever metric we agree on upfront. Code will be clean, reproducible Python — Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, statsmodels or TensorFlow as needed — with proper train/validation splits respecting temporal ordering. No data leakage. Deliverables: a fully documented Jupyter notebook, saved model artefacts ready for deployment, forecast-vs-actual visualisations, and a plain-English handoff document your business team can follow without a data science background. Share the CSV and brief and I'll confirm the recommended approach within 24 hours.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
5.6
5.6

Your forecast accuracy will collapse if we pick the wrong model architecture for your data's seasonality pattern. ARIMA assumes linear relationships that break down with non-stationary trends, while LSTM requires 1000+ observations to avoid overfitting. Before I recommend the stack, two questions: What's your dataset size (rows and time granularity - daily, hourly)? Are you forecasting a single metric or do you have exogenous variables that influence the target (like promotions affecting sales)? Here's the technical approach: - EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS: Decompose the series using STL to isolate trend/seasonality, run ADF tests for stationarity, and engineer lag features with partial autocorrelation plots to capture temporal dependencies. - MODEL SELECTION: Compare Prophet (handles missing data and holidays), XGBoost with lag features (captures non-linear patterns), and SARIMAX (if you've got external regressors). I'll use walk-forward validation instead of random splits since time order matters. - EVALUATION FRAMEWORK: Implement MAPE for percentage error, RMSE for absolute deviation, and directional accuracy to measure if we're predicting trend changes correctly. I'll also run residual diagnostics to catch autocorrelation the model missed. - DEPLOYMENT ARTIFACTS: Package the model with joblib, create a prediction pipeline that handles new data ingestion, and build a Plotly dashboard showing confidence intervals around forecasts so stakeholders understand prediction uncertainty. - DOCUMENTATION: Deliver a notebook with inline explanations of feature engineering logic, model hyperparameters, and failure modes (what conditions break the forecast). I've built 8 time-series models for clients ranging from demand forecasting to anomaly detection, including one that reduced inventory costs by 22% through better stockout prediction. Let's schedule a quick call to review your data structure and confirm the evaluation metric that matters most to your business decision.
₹900 INR in 30 days
5.5
5.5

Hello, I am an experienced Data Scientist and Machine Learning Engineer with strong expertise in Python, time-series forecasting, statistical modeling, and predictive analytics. I can deliver the following: 1. Fully documented Python notebook and source code 2. Trained model files ready for deployment 3. Forecast performance visualizations 4. Handoff documentation explaining assumptions, methodology, and future extension options I can begin immediately once I review the dataset structure and business objectives. Thanks.
₹2,000 INR in 20 days
4.8
4.8

Hello, • Your project aligns well with my experience in Python-based data analysis, machine learning, time-series forecasting, and predictive modeling. • Comfortable working with Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, Statsmodels, TensorFlow, and related libraries to build robust forecasting and regression solutions. • I can perform exploratory data analysis to identify trends, seasonality, outliers, correlations, and create meaningful lag-based and time-dependent features. • Experienced in evaluating and comparing forecasting approaches such as ARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost, and machine learning-based regression models to determine the most suitable solution for a given dataset. • Able to implement proper train-validation strategies, back-testing methodologies, and performance evaluation using metrics such as RMSE, MAPE, MAE, and other relevant measures. • Can provide clear visualizations using Matplotlib and Seaborn to illustrate forecast performance, feature behavior, and actual-versus-predicted trends. • The final solution will include clean, reproducible Python code, saved model artifacts, documented assumptions, feature engineering details, and deployment-ready outputs. • Focus on creating maintainable workflows that can be easily rerun, validated, and extended as business requirements evolve. • Available to start immediately and provide regular progress updates. • Proposed rate: ₹900 INR/hour. To discuss further project details, please message me through Freelancer chat.
₹900 INR in 40 days
4.5
4.5

Hello there, we are a team of Data scientist, developers and we can do this project in no time. Thanks Ashish Kumar.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
4.4
4.4

Hi, I'd be happy to help with your time-series forecasting project. I am a researcher with experience in statistical modeling, predictive analytics, and time-series analysis using **R**. I have worked with regression models, ARIMA-based forecasting, machine learning approaches, feature engineering, model validation, and performance evaluation on real-world datasets. For your project, I can: * Perform exploratory analysis to identify trends, seasonality, outliers, and potential lag effects. * Engineer relevant time-series features and evaluate their predictive value. * Develop and compare suitable forecasting models (e.g., ARIMA, XGBoost, and other appropriate approaches depending on the data characteristics). * Conduct proper train/test splitting and back-testing procedures. * Evaluate model performance using metrics such as RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. * Create clear visualizations comparing observed and predicted values. * Provide a concise report explaining the methodology, assumptions, results, and practical implications. My primary analytical environment is **R**, where I conduct forecasting, statistical modeling, and machine learning analyses in a fully reproducible workflow. If your objective is obtaining an accurate and well-documented forecasting solution, I would be happy to implement the project in R and provide clean, reproducible code and documentation. I believe forecasting projects work best when analysis and business context are considered together. Once I review your dataset and performance objectives, we can discuss the most appropriate modeling strategy and continue refining the solution until we achieve reliable predictive performance. I look forward to learning more about your dataset and helping you build a robust forecasting model.
₹1,000 INR in 5 days
3.5
3.5

Hi I can build a reliable time series forecasting model from your historical data. I have experience with Python, Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, XGBoost, ARIMA, Prophet, LSTM, data analysis, feature engineering, and predictive modeling. I will perform exploratory analysis to identify trends, seasonality, outliers, and useful lag features, then develop and compare suitable forecasting models to select the best-performing approach. The solution will include proper train/validation splits, backtesting, performance metrics such as RMSE and MAPE, clear visualizations, and a concise explanation of the methodology and results. You will receive clean, reproducible code, trained model files, forecast vs actual visualizations, and documentation so the solution can be easily rerun and extended in the future. Please let me know further. Thanks.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
3.6
3.6

As a highly experienced data scientist specializing in Python, time-series forecasts, and regression modeling, I am poised to create a precise and reproducible solution for your project. My comprehensive understanding of Python enables me to leverage libraries like Pandas, NumPy, and Scikit-learn with finesse. Paired with my skilled grasp of SQL and statistics, this brings the potential to create a high-quality codebase replete with interpretability and actionable insights for your business. Moreover, I understand the importance of not just building accurate models but also leveraging clear visualization techniques—Matplotlib/Seaborn as well as a lightweight Power BI/Jupyter dashboard—to ensure effective communication of predictions' alignment with actuals. Lastly, with over years of experience tailoring AI solutions, I have consistently delivered outcomes that drive real-world impact. From predictive analytics for demand forecasting to delivering generative AI which streamlines tasks, my expertise aligns closely with your project's needs in python, SQL, machine learning, statistics, and data visualization. With me on-hand you can be confident in achieving
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
3.8
3.8

Turning time-stamped records into a regression model sounds like a great challenge! I've got solid experience with Python and data visualization that could really help with this. What specific outcomes do you hope to achieve?
₹1,350 INR in 7 days
2.5
2.5

As the lead data scientist at Paper Perfect, I adamantly believe that my skills, approach, and experience position me impeccably for your Time-Series Regression Model Development project. I am a seasoned expert in Python with a distinct command over Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, statsmodels, TensorFlow and PyTorch - key libraries required for this project. Having spent years meticulously deploying predictive models on time series data with various techniques like ARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost and LSTM, I can confidently choose and justify the model best suited for your data. My ability to efficiently engineer features and interpret model outputs will translate into actionable insights that drive informed decisions. Furthermore, as someone committed to clear communication and exceeding expectations, I can guarantee insightful exploratory analysis, precise evaluation metrics and concise visualisation to powerfully present forecasted versus actual performance- perhaps through a user-friendly Power BI or Jupyter dashboard as you mentioned. Overall, my proven expertise in Python, SQL, machine learning and statistics coupled with my unyielding determination to deliver exceptional results makes me the ideal fit for this project.
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
2.1
2.1

Please take a look at my profile. If it interest you kindly contact me for your project. I would like to assist you .Thank you
₹750 INR in 40 days
2.3
2.3

Hi, I am Abutalha, a data scientist with experience in time-series forecasting, machine learning, statistical modeling, and Python-based analytics. I can perform the exploratory analysis, engineer time-based features, evaluate multiple forecasting approaches (ARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost, LSTM, etc.), and deliver a reproducible forecasting solution with back-testing, visualizations, model artifacts, and clear documentation. Before we start, could you share the dataset frequency (daily, weekly, monthly) and the approximate number of records? Best regards, Abutalha
₹750 INR in 40 days
2.1
2.1

Hi, I've built end-to-end regression pipelines on time-stamped data, including feature engineering (lags, rolling windows, seasonality decomposition) and model comparisons across XGBoost, Prophet, and LSTM depending on the signal-to-noise profile. My usual workflow: EDA notebook → baseline (ARIMA/Prophet) → tree-based model with engineered lag features → compare via walk-forward backtesting (RMSE/MAPE) rather than a single train/test split, since that's the only honest way to validate time series. I'll deliver a clean reproducible notebook, saved model artifacts, forecast-vs-actual plots, and a short hand-off doc. Quick question: what's the granularity and length of your historical data (daily/hourly, how many periods), and is there a specific horizon you need to forecast (next day, next week, etc.)? That affects whether a simple statistical model or ML approach will perform better."
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
1.8
1.8

Hi there, I am Syed Taha Hussain, and I can quickly turn your time-stamped records into a working regression model. Automated spreadsheet modeling and technical data structure are my primary skills. I am an expert in auditing nested logic, specializing in building time-series analytics, engineering lag features, and training robust machine learning pipelines (Scikit-learn, XGBoost). I will clean up your redundant metrics, lock the final forecast variables, and ensure total 365/2019 compatibility so your predictive dashboards refresh instantly. I have successfully resolved numerous complex forecasting and statistical models requiring absolute precision. You can message me in the chat so we can review the dataset and wrap this up today.
₹950 INR in 40 days
2.5
2.5

As someone who has spent over a decade in your field, I understand the importance of thorough, accurate forecasting. Crafting efficient, data-driven models is not just something I do, it's a core part of my professional existence. My mastery of Python and its scientific libraries, along with strong competencies in SQL, machine learning and statistics, align perfectly with your project requirements. My wealth of experience will be instrumental in extracting meaningful insights from your dataset and developing a regression model optimized for handling time-series data. Whether we leverage ARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost, LSTM or any other models we decide are best-suited for your context, you can trust my ability to implement and interpret them effectively. Also, given my emphasis on scalable and understandable code, you can expect the deliverables to be flawless. I'll provide a comprehensive notebook or .py file that clearly explains every step taken from feature-engineering to model interpretation. The reproducibility of the code combined with ownership ensures you'll have full control over using and extending this solution well into the future. If you seek a detail-oriented collaborator focused on ensuring that no actionable insight goes unexplored in your data - look no further. Let's connect to discuss our aligned approach and timeline!
₹1,000 INR in 40 days
1.3
1.3

Hi, I reviewed your requirements and have experience building time-series forecasting and regression models using Python, Pandas, Scikit-learn, XGBoost, and TensorFlow. I've worked on projects involving feature engineering, back-testing, model evaluation, and interactive visualizations for business decision-making. I can deliver a reproducible solution with clean code, trained model artifacts, forecast vs. actual visualizations, and clear documentation so your team can easily rerun or extend the model. I'm available to start immediately and would be happy to discuss the best approach for your dataset. Best regards, WiredAI Ventures
₹900 INR in 40 days
1.4
1.4

I am an experienced Data Scientist and Machine Learning Engineer with strong expertise in Python, Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Predictive Modeling. I can help transform your historical time-stamped data into a reliable regression-based forecasting solution. My approach includes comprehensive exploratory data analysis to identify trends, seasonality, anomalies, and feature relationships. I will engineer relevant lag, rolling-window, and calendar-based features and evaluate multiple forecasting approaches such as ARIMA/SARIMA, Prophet, XGBoost, and LSTM, selecting the best model based on your business objectives and evaluation metrics. The project will include proper time-series train/validation splitting, back-testing, model comparison, and performance evaluation using metrics such as RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. I will provide clean, reproducible Python code using Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, and other required libraries. Deliverables will include the complete notebook/codebase, trained model artifacts, forecast vs. actual visualizations, and concise documentation explaining assumptions, feature engineering, model selection, and recommendations. I am available to start immediately and can quickly review your dataset and business requirements to propose the most effective forecasting strategy.
₹800 INR in 40 days
1.0
1.0

Bijnor, India
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